Round 10 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.131 to 12.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.80 (+0.131)
In: 12.66
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
94
In: 82
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.1710.24+0.0665
Strategic Infrastructure13.9013.96+0.0683
National Security9.469.48+0.0155
Human Capital15.5215.76+0.2471
Information & Influence13.1413.17+0.0264
Governance & Integrity12.1512.19+0.0369
Financial Strength13.4413.53+0.0929
Production & Innovation12.6712.89+0.2285 → 4
Trade & Investment13.5313.93+0.4035

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 436, plus 82 carried in. Maintenance 318. Spent 106 on actions (buy 42, partner 63). 94 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 0.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Output & Productivity+1.14+1.080.00+0.03+0.03
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.01+0.970.00+0.03+0.01
Advanced Education+0.99+0.920.00+0.03+0.04
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.94+0.860.00+0.03+0.06
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.92+0.870.00+0.03+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.76+0.730.00+0.030.00