Round 11 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.166 to 12.96.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.96 (+0.166)
In: 12.80
Rank by index
22
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
111
In: 89
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.2410.32+0.0865
Strategic Infrastructure13.9614.03+0.0663
National Security9.489.49+0.0145
Human Capital15.7615.88+0.1191
Information & Influence13.1713.35+0.1784
Governance & Integrity12.1912.23+0.0379
Financial Strength13.5313.70+0.1669 → 8
Production & Innovation12.8913.20+0.3054 → 3
Trade & Investment13.9314.46+0.5215 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 455, plus 89 carried in. Maintenance 324. Spent 109 on actions (buy 22, partner 87). 111 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 1.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade22 credits for 1.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.74+1.580.00+0.06+0.10
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.93+0.870.00+0.03+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.92+0.900.00+0.010.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.90+0.850.00+0.03+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.87+0.760.00+0.01+0.10
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.81+0.780.00+0.03+0.01