Round 12 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.166 to 13.13.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.13 (+0.166)
In: 12.96
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
127
In: 105
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.3210.57+0.2415
Strategic Infrastructure14.0314.09+0.0623
National Security9.499.51+0.0195
Human Capital15.8816.00+0.1221
Information & Influence13.3513.68+0.3344 → 2
Governance & Integrity12.2312.27+0.0409
Financial Strength13.7013.79+0.0978
Production & Innovation13.2013.27+0.0733 → 2
Trade & Investment14.4614.96+0.5073

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 469, plus 105 carried in. Maintenance 334. Spent 114 on actions (build 23, buy 23, partner 68). 127 carried over.

  • BuildFoundational Education23 credits for 1.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems23 credits for 1.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position23 credits for 1.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics23 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation23 credits for 1.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.85+1.800.00+0.03+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.73+1.710.00+0.010.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.90+0.850.00+0.03+0.03
Global Value Chain Position+0.86+0.800.00+0.03+0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.83+0.790.00+0.03+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.81+0.780.00+0.03+0.01