Round 14 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.087 to 13.38.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.38 (+0.087)
In: 13.29
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
99
In: 123
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.1311.33+0.1975
Strategic Infrastructure14.1614.20+0.0373
National Security9.549.56+0.0225
Human Capital16.2416.35+0.1071
Information & Influence13.8614.02+0.1602
Governance & Integrity12.3112.34+0.0359
Financial Strength13.8213.83+0.0088
Production & Innovation13.3513.55+0.1972
Trade & Investment15.2415.27+0.0252

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 462, plus 123 carried in. Maintenance 368. Spent 119 on actions (build 48, buy 48, partner 24). 99 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence24 credits for 1.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 2 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication24 credits for 1.68 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education24 credits for 1.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity24 credits for 1.11 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls by 0 per cent
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls24 credits for 1.21 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.70+1.660.000.00+0.04
Economic Output & Productivity+1.15+1.110.000.00+0.04
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.86+0.840.000.00+0.02
Foundational Education+0.71+0.690.000.00+0.02
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.24+0.240.000.000.00
Innovation & Commercialisation+0.100.000.000.00+0.10