Round 6 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.092 to 11.70.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.70 (+0.092)
In: 11.61
Rank by index
30
In: 31
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
87
In: 66
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.209.21+0.0146
Strategic Infrastructure13.0813.06−0.0183
National Security8.818.85+0.0335
Human Capital13.7314.12+0.3902
Information & Influence11.7011.85+0.1536
Governance & Integrity11.6811.68−0.00210
Financial Strength12.9013.03+0.12910
Production & Innovation11.7211.72+0.0028
Trade & Investment11.6411.77+0.1248 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 379, plus 66 carried in. Maintenance 264. Spent 94 on actions (build 38, partner 56). 87 carried over.

  • BuildStrategic Strike & Missile Defence19 credits for 0.81 levelsmctsahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education19 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.01+1.010.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.99+1.000.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.94+0.950.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.89+0.900.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.78+0.780.000.00−0.01