Round 5 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.151 to 11.61.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.61 (+0.151)
In: 11.46
Rank by index
31
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
69
In: 48
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.799.20+0.4096
Strategic Infrastructure13.0913.08−0.0133
National Security8.808.81+0.0165
Human Capital13.1313.73+0.6053 → 2
Information & Influence11.4011.70+0.2926
Governance & Integrity11.6811.68−0.00210
Financial Strength12.8512.90+0.06010
Production & Innovation11.7211.72−0.0058
Trade & Investment11.6511.64−0.0038

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 375, plus 48 carried in. Maintenance 259. Spent 94 on actions (buy 76, partner 19). 69 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.96 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 1.01 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+2.07+1.940.000.00+0.14
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.96+1.960.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.77+1.770.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.48+1.480.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.38+1.380.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.36+1.360.000.000.00