Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.023 to 11.97.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.97 (+0.024)
- In: 11.95
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 153
- In: 122
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.37 | 9.60 | +0.231 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.07 | 13.04 | −0.031 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.91 | 8.94 | +0.030 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.67 | 14.67 | +0.005 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.02 | 12.15 | +0.139 | 5 → 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.67 | 11.59 | −0.087 | 9 → 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.11 | 12.99 | −0.115 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.13 | 12.19 | +0.059 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.61 | 12.59 | −0.021 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 409, plus 122 carried in. Maintenance 279. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 79). 153 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 1.05 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −21.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.65 | +1.78 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.53 | +1.65 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.47 | +1.72 | 0.00 | −0.26 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.01 | +1.05 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.08 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.70 | +0.81 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.03 |
| Foundational Education | +0.37 | +0.45 | 0.00 | −0.07 | −0.01 |