Round 10 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.009 to 11.98.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.98 (+0.009)
In: 11.97
Rank by index
29
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
127
In: 145
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.609.64+0.0435
Strategic Infrastructure13.0413.05+0.0103
National Security8.948.98+0.0425
Human Capital14.6714.78+0.1061
Information & Influence12.1512.22+0.0626 → 5
Governance & Integrity11.5911.53−0.05510
Financial Strength12.9912.95−0.0389
Production & Innovation12.1912.12−0.0775
Trade & Investment12.5912.57−0.0117

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 366, plus 145 carried in. Maintenance 281. Spent 102 on actions (buy 41, partner 61). 127 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Education20 credits for 0.75 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence20 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +3.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.47+1.590.00−0.120.00
Advanced Education+1.08+1.210.00−0.14+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.84+0.920.00−0.08−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.75+0.870.00−0.13+0.01
Foundational Education+0.39+0.450.00−0.060.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.27+0.390.00−0.23+0.11