Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.150 to 12.16.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.16 (+0.150)
- In: 12.01
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 175
- In: 121
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.53 | 9.72 | +0.192 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.05 | 13.09 | +0.046 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.02 | 9.07 | +0.059 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.88 | 14.95 | +0.070 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.29 | 12.34 | +0.043 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.47 | 11.50 | +0.028 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.89 | 12.90 | +0.006 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.02 | 12.27 | +0.242 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.98 | 13.64 | +0.663 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 432, plus 121 carried in. Maintenance 283. Spent 95 on actions (buy 38, partner 57). 175 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence19 credits for 0.63 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.3 points this round.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.76 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.57 | +1.47 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.09 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.82 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.82 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.78 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.75 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |