Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.032 to 12.01.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.01 (+0.032)
- In: 11.98
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 127
- In: 121
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.64 | 9.53 | −0.112 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.05 | 13.05 | +0.001 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.98 | 9.02 | +0.034 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.78 | 14.88 | +0.097 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.22 | 12.29 | +0.076 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.53 | 11.47 | −0.055 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.95 | 12.89 | −0.060 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.12 | 12.02 | −0.091 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.57 | 12.98 | +0.402 | 7 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 380, plus 121 carried in. Maintenance 282. Spent 91 on actions (buy 18, partner 73). 127 carried over.
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics18 credits for 1.45 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade18 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection18 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation18 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −5.7 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.84 | +0.92 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.80 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.73 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.13 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.68 | +0.80 | 0.00 | −0.12 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.59 | +0.72 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.55 | +0.77 | 0.00 | −0.26 | +0.04 |