Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.117 to 12.40.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.40 (+0.116)
- In: 12.28
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 203
- In: 179
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.21 | 10.45 | +0.242 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.10 | 13.11 | +0.008 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.11 | 9.14 | +0.030 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.98 | 15.00 | +0.016 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.49 | 13.05 | +0.563 | 4 → 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.50 | 11.50 | −0.001 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.97 | 13.10 | +0.136 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.29 | 12.33 | +0.041 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.87 | 13.88 | +0.015 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 426, plus 179 carried in. Maintenance 297. Spent 105 on actions (buy 42, partner 63). 203 carried over.
- PartnerSensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.42 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.59 | +1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.48 | +1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.88 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.82 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.76 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.71 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |