Round 15 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.103 to 12.50.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.50 (+0.103)
In: 12.40
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
219
In: 193
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.4510.72+0.2655
Strategic Infrastructure13.1113.13+0.0193
National Security9.149.14+0.0065
Human Capital15.0015.04+0.0431
Information & Influence13.0513.21+0.1583
Governance & Integrity11.5011.50+0.00210
Financial Strength13.1013.18+0.0728
Production & Innovation12.3312.36+0.0264
Trade & Investment13.8814.22+0.3315 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 436, plus 193 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 107 on actions (build 21, buy 21, partner 64). 219 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.43 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+2.41+2.390.000.00+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.83+0.830.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.72+0.710.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.38+0.370.000.00+0.01