Round 18 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.024 to 12.57.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.57 (−0.024)
In: 12.59
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
188
In: 225
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.0711.20+0.1285
Strategic Infrastructure13.1813.21+0.0263
National Security9.189.20+0.0205
Human Capital15.1215.08−0.0391
Information & Influence13.0612.89−0.1643
Governance & Integrity11.4011.29−0.11010
Financial Strength13.0412.90−0.1428
Production & Innovation12.3512.40+0.0564 → 2
Trade & Investment14.9514.96+0.0092 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 397, plus 225 carried in. Maintenance 321. Spent 113 on actions (buy 68, partner 45). 188 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation23 credits for 0.93 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion23 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position23 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.6 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.43+1.600.00−0.19+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.39+1.550.00−0.17+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.23+1.410.00−0.18+0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.60+0.660.00−0.07+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.60+0.770.00−0.19+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.58+0.760.00−0.19+0.01