Round 2043
Round 17 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.028 to 12.59.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.59 (−0.027)
- In: 12.62
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 236
- In: 218
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.92 | 11.07 | +0.147 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.16 | 13.18 | +0.025 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.16 | 9.18 | +0.018 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.20 | 15.12 | −0.075 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.23 | 13.06 | −0.171 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.51 | 11.40 | −0.109 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.18 | 13.04 | −0.142 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.44 | 12.35 | −0.095 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.80 | 14.95 | +0.152 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 450, plus 218 carried in. Maintenance 321. Spent 111 on actions (build 22, buy 67, partner 22). 236 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.64 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure22 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems22 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −28.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.46 | +1.64 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.24 | +1.52 | 0.00 | −0.37 | +0.10 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.67 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.60 | +0.76 | 0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.60 | +0.66 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.46 | +0.83 | 0.00 | −0.38 | +0.01 |