Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.152 to 12.63.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.63 (+0.152)
- In: 12.47
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 97
- In: 85
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.69 | 10.10 | +0.409 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.82 | 13.88 | +0.062 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.50 | 9.52 | +0.018 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.38 | 15.55 | +0.180 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.86 | 12.88 | +0.028 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.12 | 12.15 | +0.037 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.41 | 13.44 | +0.026 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.60 | 12.82 | +0.221 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.90 | 13.29 | +0.385 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 422, plus 85 carried in. Maintenance 306. Spent 104 on actions (build 21, buy 63, partner 21). 97 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.08 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +9.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.83 | +1.80 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.82 | +1.77 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.16 | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.85 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.85 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.84 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |