Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.113 to 13.34.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.34 (+0.113)
- In: 13.22
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 141
- In: 145
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.92 | 11.32 | +0.399 | 5 → 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.15 | 14.18 | +0.032 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.67 | 9.69 | +0.022 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.23 | 16.40 | +0.167 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.60 | 13.62 | +0.021 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.30 | 12.31 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.81 | 13.84 | +0.020 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.40 | 13.50 | +0.093 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.93 | 15.19 | +0.259 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 465, plus 145 carried in. Maintenance 351. Spent 118 on actions (build 47, buy 47, partner 24). 141 carried over.
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation24 credits for 0.75 levelsmctsahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies24 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics24 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence24 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education24 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.93 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.75 | +1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.82 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.82 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.71 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.36 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |