Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.148 to 13.22.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.22 (+0.148)
- In: 13.08
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 152
- In: 140
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.67 | 10.92 | +0.249 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.09 | 14.15 | +0.064 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.62 | 9.67 | +0.046 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.06 | 16.23 | +0.178 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.57 | 13.60 | +0.034 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.27 | 12.30 | +0.039 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.72 | 13.81 | +0.092 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.05 | 13.40 | +0.357 | 4 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.65 | 14.93 | +0.273 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 470, plus 140 carried in. Maintenance 342. Spent 116 on actions (build 46, buy 46, partner 23). 152 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity23 credits for 1.02 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position23 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion23 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education23 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.84 | +1.80 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.80 | +1.63 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.11 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.87 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.84 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.56 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.06 |
| Foundational Education | +0.50 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |