Round 18 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.106 to 13.86.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.86 (+0.107)
In: 13.75
Rank by index
19
In: 20
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
57
In: 79
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.0912.44+0.3514
Strategic Infrastructure14.4014.42+0.0193
National Security9.9110.00+0.0945
Human Capital16.7716.84+0.0761
Information & Influence14.2414.27+0.0253
Governance & Integrity12.5212.55+0.0359
Financial Strength14.1214.20+0.0808 → 7
Production & Innovation13.8013.83+0.0282
Trade & Investment15.9316.17+0.2462

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 488, plus 79 carried in. Maintenance 391. Spent 120 on actions (buy 72, partner 48). 57 carried over.

  • BuySpace Operations24 credits for 1.54 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation24 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication24 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies24 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance24 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.63+1.620.000.00+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.56+1.540.000.00+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.83+0.810.000.00+0.02
Space Operations+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.76+0.760.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.47+0.370.000.00+0.10