Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.134 to 13.99.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.99 (+0.134)
- In: 13.86
- Rank by index
- 18
- In: 19
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 26
- In: 55
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 12.44 | 12.83 | +0.388 | 4 → 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.42 | 14.47 | +0.051 | 3 |
| National Security | 10.00 | 10.09 | +0.090 | 5 → 4 |
| Human Capital | 16.84 | 16.89 | +0.043 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 14.27 | 14.32 | +0.051 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.55 | 12.62 | +0.068 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 14.20 | 14.31 | +0.106 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.83 | 13.88 | +0.051 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.17 | 16.53 | +0.362 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 494, plus 55 carried in. Maintenance 401. Spent 122 on actions (buy 49, partner 73). 26 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing24 credits for 1.31 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies24 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position24 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics24 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence24 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +7.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 2; National Security Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.50 | +1.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.06 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.34 | +1.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.78 | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.78 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.78 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Space Operations | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |