Round 20 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.169 to 14.16.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
14.16 (+0.169)
In: 13.99
Rank by index
17
In: 18
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
14
In: 25
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.8313.39+0.5592
Strategic Infrastructure14.4714.53+0.0553
National Security10.0910.10+0.0074
Human Capital16.8916.93+0.0391
Information & Influence14.3214.61+0.2923
Governance & Integrity12.6212.69+0.0679 → 8
Financial Strength14.3114.36+0.0467
Production & Innovation13.8814.07+0.1902
Trade & Investment16.5316.80+0.2612

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 530, plus 25 carried in. Maintenance 418. Spent 124 on actions (buy 124). 14 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity25 credits for 0.97 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies25 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance25 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing25 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems25 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +1.5 points this round.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.59+1.520.00+0.05+0.02
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.56+1.510.00+0.01+0.04
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.51+1.470.00+0.02+0.01
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.51+1.470.00+0.02+0.02
Economic Output & Productivity+1.01+0.970.00+0.02+0.02
Global Value Chain Position+0.82+0.760.00+0.02+0.04