Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.113 to 12.71.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.71 (+0.112)
- In: 12.60
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 150
- In: 143
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.48 | 10.53 | +0.052 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.81 | 13.84 | +0.028 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.52 | 9.53 | +0.013 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.26 | 15.41 | +0.146 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.94 | 13.09 | +0.151 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.83 | 0.000 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.03 | 13.10 | +0.069 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.51 | 12.70 | +0.196 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.00 | 14.36 | +0.357 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 430, plus 143 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 107 on actions (build 22, buy 22, partner 64). 150 carried over.
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics22 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence22 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & AI Competence by 1 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence22 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.13 | +1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.91 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.83 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.79 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.78 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.54 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |