Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.094 to 12.60.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.60 (+0.094)
- In: 12.50
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 151
- In: 137
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.12 | 10.48 | +0.357 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.78 | 13.81 | +0.027 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.51 | 9.52 | +0.013 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.12 | 15.26 | +0.140 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.78 | 12.94 | +0.152 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.83 | −0.001 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.03 | 13.03 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.48 | 12.51 | +0.030 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.88 | 14.00 | +0.121 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 430, plus 137 carried in. Maintenance 311. Spent 106 on actions (build 21, buy 42, partner 42). 151 carried over.
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.74 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication21 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence21 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.75 | +1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.67 | +1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.83 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.79 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.46 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.28 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |