Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.110 to 12.47.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.47 (+0.110)
- In: 12.36
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 82
- In: 66
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.59 | 9.61 | +0.018 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.81 | 13.82 | +0.011 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.43 | 9.44 | +0.015 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.94 | 15.26 | +0.326 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.68 | 12.85 | +0.172 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.12 | 12.12 | +0.003 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.34 | 13.41 | +0.070 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.58 | 12.60 | +0.022 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.79 | 13.14 | +0.353 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 418, plus 66 carried in. Maintenance 301. Spent 101 on actions (build 41, buy 20, partner 41). 82 carried over.
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 0.94 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education20 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.94 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.93 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.82 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.81 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.80 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.62 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |