Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.140 to 12.61.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.61 (+0.140)
- In: 12.47
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 88
- In: 78
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.61 | 10.02 | +0.406 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.82 | 13.88 | +0.062 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.44 | 9.46 | +0.019 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.26 | 15.45 | +0.189 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.85 | 12.88 | +0.025 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.12 | 12.15 | +0.036 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.41 | 13.44 | +0.026 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.60 | 12.82 | +0.221 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.14 | 13.41 | +0.274 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 422, plus 78 carried in. Maintenance 307. Spent 104 on actions (build 42, buy 63). 88 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.08 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +9.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.83 | +1.80 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.80 | +1.75 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.16 | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.85 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.82 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.74 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |