Round 15 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.122 to 13.48.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.48 (+0.121)
In: 13.36
Rank by index
21
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
120
In: 119
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.3111.66+0.3484
Strategic Infrastructure14.1814.22+0.0403
National Security9.589.62+0.0425
Human Capital16.2816.31+0.0301
Information & Influence13.7513.99+0.2453
Governance & Integrity12.3412.38+0.0359
Financial Strength13.9113.97+0.0628 → 7
Production & Innovation13.5513.60+0.0462
Trade & Investment15.3015.54+0.2442

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 478, plus 119 carried in. Maintenance 362. Spent 116 on actions (build 23, buy 47, partner 47). 120 carried over.

  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance23 credits for 1.52 levelsmctsahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection23 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies23 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence23 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.69+1.650.000.00+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.41+1.400.000.00+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.86+0.830.000.00+0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.85+0.810.000.00+0.04
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.74+0.710.000.00+0.03
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.53+0.510.000.00+0.02