Round 14 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.098 to 13.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.36 (+0.098)
In: 13.26
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
125
In: 134
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.2711.31+0.0395 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure14.1514.18+0.0323
National Security9.539.58+0.0485
Human Capital16.1216.28+0.1631
Information & Influence13.5913.75+0.1613
Governance & Integrity12.3012.34+0.0359
Financial Strength13.8513.91+0.0548
Production & Innovation13.3513.55+0.2022
Trade & Investment15.1615.30+0.1442

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 465, plus 134 carried in. Maintenance 356. Spent 118 on actions (build 47, buy 47, partner 24). 125 carried over.

  • BuildStrategic Strike & Missile Defence24 credits for 1.04 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation24 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity24 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication24 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls24 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Output & Productivity+1.17+1.100.000.00+0.07
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.05+1.000.000.00+0.05
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.85+0.830.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.01
Advanced Education+0.28+0.230.000.00+0.05
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence+0.26+0.260.000.000.00