Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.146 to 14.00.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 14.00 (+0.146)
- In: 13.86
- Rank by index
- 18
- In: 19
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 52
- In: 73
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 12.47 | 13.08 | +0.610 | 4 → 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.45 | 14.51 | +0.055 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.74 | 9.75 | +0.006 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.51 | 16.60 | +0.089 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 14.47 | 14.64 | +0.163 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.49 | 12.52 | +0.037 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 14.27 | 14.31 | +0.045 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.82 | 13.87 | +0.050 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.48 | 16.75 | +0.262 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 499, plus 73 carried in. Maintenance 395. Spent 124 on actions (buy 75, partner 50). 52 carried over.
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks25 credits for 1.42 levelsmctsahead of Government Effectiveness & Public Administration by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing25 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence25 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies25 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies25 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +7.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.61 | +1.55 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.53 | +1.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.06 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.36 | +1.33 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Space Technologies | +1.35 | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.82 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.04 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.79 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |