Round 20 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.145 to 14.15.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
14.15 (+0.145)
In: 14.00
Rank by index
17
In: 18
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
41
In: 49
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology13.0813.77+0.6942
Strategic Infrastructure14.5114.56+0.0533
National Security9.759.76+0.0095
Human Capital16.6016.69+0.0841
Information & Influence14.6414.79+0.1523
Governance & Integrity12.5212.56+0.0379
Financial Strength14.3114.35+0.0377
Production & Innovation13.8714.06+0.1862
Trade & Investment16.7516.80+0.0492

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 530, plus 49 carried in. Maintenance 414. Spent 125 on actions (buy 125). 41 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing25 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems25 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation25 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity25 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies25 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +1.5 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.54+1.490.00+0.02+0.03
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.52+1.490.00+0.02+0.01
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.52+1.480.00+0.02+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.43+1.390.00+0.02+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.00+0.970.00+0.02+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.78+0.710.00+0.01+0.05