Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.155 to 11.83.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.83 (+0.155)
- In: 11.68
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 31
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 72
- In: 33
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.73 | 9.04 | +0.304 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.56 | 13.61 | +0.043 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.46 | 9.45 | −0.006 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.92 | 14.25 | +0.331 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.78 | 11.96 | +0.179 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.73 | 11.79 | +0.055 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.72 | 12.87 | +0.152 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.65 | 11.70 | +0.046 | 8 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.52 | 11.81 | +0.290 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 405, plus 33 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 95 on actions (build 19, buy 19, partner 57). 72 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.74 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +2.82 | +2.83 | 0.00 | +0.02 | −0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.95 | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.91 | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.09 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.85 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.76 | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.76 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.05 | −0.01 |