Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.157 to 11.99.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.99 (+0.158)
- In: 11.83
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 106
- In: 68
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.04 | 9.09 | +0.050 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.61 | 13.66 | +0.055 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.45 | 9.47 | +0.022 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.25 | 14.47 | +0.213 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.96 | 12.15 | +0.184 | 6 → 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.79 | 11.84 | +0.054 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.87 | 12.96 | +0.095 | 10 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.70 | 12.01 | +0.307 | 8 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.81 | 12.25 | +0.435 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 417, plus 68 carried in. Maintenance 279. Spent 101 on actions (build 20, buy 20, partner 61). 106 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence20 credits for 0.67 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.82 | +1.74 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.04 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.95 | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.91 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.89 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.05 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.86 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.52 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |