Round 13 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.131 to 12.60.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.60 (+0.131)
In: 12.46
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
189
In: 168
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.0210.24+0.2165
Strategic Infrastructure13.8213.85+0.0293
National Security9.609.64+0.0385
Human Capital15.1415.24+0.0971
Information & Influence12.6312.81+0.1834 → 3
Governance & Integrity11.8311.83−0.0019
Financial Strength13.1413.15+0.0058
Production & Innovation12.3212.58+0.2605 → 4
Trade & Investment13.6814.03+0.3524

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 437, plus 168 carried in. Maintenance 308. Spent 108 on actions (build 22, buy 43, partner 43). 189 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 0.80 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position22 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies22 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.71+1.710.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.68+1.600.000.00+0.08
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.92+0.910.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.84+0.800.000.00+0.04
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.81+0.810.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.76+0.750.000.00+0.01