Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.123 to 12.72.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.72 (+0.123)
- In: 12.60
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 196
- In: 180
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.24 | 10.63 | +0.386 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.85 | 13.88 | +0.025 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.64 | 9.68 | +0.036 | 5 → 4 |
| Human Capital | 15.24 | 15.34 | +0.105 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.81 | 12.97 | +0.161 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.83 | +0.001 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.15 | 13.16 | +0.007 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.58 | 12.61 | +0.036 | 4 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.03 | 14.38 | +0.353 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 440, plus 180 carried in. Maintenance 315. Spent 109 on actions (build 22, buy 44, partner 44). 196 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation22 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 1 per cent
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication22 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics22 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & AI Competence by 1 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence22 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
Tiers. National Security Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.81 | +1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.79 | +1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.86 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.81 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.81 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.80 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |