Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.086 to 13.22.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.22 (+0.086)
- In: 13.14
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 181
- In: 181
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.39 | 11.62 | +0.233 | 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.93 | 14.01 | +0.080 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.71 | 9.72 | +0.010 | 4 |
| Human Capital | 15.64 | 15.70 | +0.054 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.82 | 13.97 | +0.149 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.84 | 11.85 | +0.004 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.46 | 13.54 | +0.082 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.01 | 13.04 | +0.029 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.44 | 15.58 | +0.132 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 467, plus 181 carried in. Maintenance 353. Spent 114 on actions (build 23, buy 46, partner 46). 181 carried over.
- BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.13 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication23 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance23 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure23 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.64 | +1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.76 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.74 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.65 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.48 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.38 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |