Round 3 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.076 to 11.85.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.85 (+0.075)
In: 11.77
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
37
In: 25
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.129.13+0.0166
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.800.0003
National Security9.449.46+0.0215
Human Capital12.4012.80+0.3926 → 4
Information & Influence11.8612.04+0.1745
Governance & Integrity12.1112.110.0009
Financial Strength13.1313.130.0009
Production & Innovation11.8811.95+0.0718
Trade & Investment12.1812.19+0.0077

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386, plus 25 carried in. Maintenance 278. Spent 97 on actions (build 58, partner 39). 37 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.99 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.15+1.150.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.07+1.070.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.06+1.060.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.04+1.040.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.49+0.490.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.25+0.250.000.000.00