Round 9 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.040 to 11.89.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.89 (−0.040)
In: 11.93
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
38
In: 52
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.089.28+0.1986
Strategic Infrastructure13.4913.42−0.0733
National Security9.569.58+0.0225
Human Capital14.5714.54−0.0301
Information & Influence12.3212.13−0.1915
Governance & Integrity11.6811.56−0.1199
Financial Strength12.4812.38−0.10010
Production & Innovation11.9211.75−0.1725
Trade & Investment12.2712.38+0.1087 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 356, plus 52 carried in. Maintenance 283. Spent 88 on actions (build 35, buy 35, partner 18). 38 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance18 credits for 0.59 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence18 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education18 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics18 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies18 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.9 points this round.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.41+1.580.00−0.18+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+1.24+1.610.00−0.36−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.60+0.820.00−0.19−0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.56+0.760.00−0.19−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.53+0.730.00−0.19−0.01
Quantum Technologies+0.49+0.650.00−0.18+0.02