Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.032 to 11.93.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.93 (−0.032)
- In: 11.96
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 54
- In: 86
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.20 | 9.08 | −0.120 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.57 | 13.49 | −0.079 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.53 | 9.56 | +0.024 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.52 | 14.57 | +0.058 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.35 | 12.32 | −0.032 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.80 | 11.68 | −0.117 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.55 | 12.48 | −0.073 | 11 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.11 | 11.92 | −0.190 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.03 | 12.27 | +0.239 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 351, plus 86 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, partner 79). 54 carried over.
- PartnerQuantum Technologies20 credits for 1.29 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −9.9 points this round.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 11 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.38 | +1.59 | 0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.80 | +0.97 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.65 | +0.84 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.60 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.19 | −0.04 |
| Quantum Technologies | +0.48 | +0.65 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.43 | +0.80 | 0.00 | −0.33 | −0.04 |