Round 11 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 12.08.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.08 (+0.115)
In: 11.96
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
92
In: 68
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.449.63+0.1915
Strategic Infrastructure13.4213.43+0.0073
National Security9.599.58−0.0055
Human Capital14.6414.78+0.1351
Information & Influence12.1312.41+0.2845
Governance & Integrity11.5611.56−0.0049
Financial Strength12.4412.51+0.06410
Production & Innovation11.7611.78+0.0185
Trade & Investment12.7013.05+0.3526 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 411, plus 68 carried in. Maintenance 286. Spent 102 on actions (build 20, buy 41, partner 41). 92 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 0.97 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.69+1.690.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.69+1.690.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.91+0.890.000.00+0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.89+0.890.000.000.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.81+0.780.000.00+0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.77+0.780.000.00−0.01