Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.122 to 12.20.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.20 (+0.122)
- In: 12.08
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 110
- In: 88
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.63 | 9.83 | +0.203 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.43 | 13.45 | +0.019 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.58 | 9.59 | +0.004 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.78 | 14.92 | +0.139 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.41 | 12.56 | +0.148 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.56 | 11.55 | −0.004 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.51 | 12.60 | +0.091 | 10 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.78 | 12.02 | +0.242 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.05 | 13.31 | +0.254 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 416, plus 88 carried in. Maintenance 291. Spent 103 on actions (buy 41, partner 62). 110 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.73 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication21 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.78 | +1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.64 | +1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Advanced Education | +0.92 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.90 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.89 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.79 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |