Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.001 to 12.22.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.22 (−0.001)
- In: 12.22
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 96
- In: 120
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.00 | 10.03 | +0.025 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.41 | 13.38 | −0.036 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.53 | 9.48 | −0.049 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.00 | 15.02 | +0.025 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.57 | 12.57 | +0.001 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.48 | 11.40 | −0.074 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.52 | 12.41 | −0.114 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.06 | 11.96 | −0.104 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.43 | 13.75 | +0.319 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 381, plus 120 carried in. Maintenance 299. Spent 106 on actions (build 21, buy 21, partner 63). 96 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Leverage & Dependence21 credits for 1.29 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position21 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication21 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −8.0 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.65 | +1.77 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.30 | +1.57 | 0.00 | −0.29 | +0.02 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.72 | +0.83 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.65 | +0.79 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.60 | +0.72 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.02 |
| Advanced Education | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | −0.03 | +0.04 |