Round 15 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.004 to 12.23.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.23 (+0.004)
In: 12.22
Rank by index
27
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
80
In: 91
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.0310.01−0.0155
Strategic Infrastructure13.3813.34−0.0373
National Security9.489.43−0.0515
Human Capital15.0215.06+0.0401
Information & Influence12.5712.59+0.0164
Governance & Integrity11.4011.33−0.07510
Financial Strength12.4112.27−0.1428
Production & Innovation11.9611.84−0.1224
Trade & Investment13.7514.17+0.4215

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 382, plus 91 carried in. Maintenance 299. Spent 95 on actions (buy 19, partner 76). 80 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 0.85 levelsmctsahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade19 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence19 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −8.0 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.19+1.390.00−0.29+0.09
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.99+1.290.00−0.31+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.72+0.830.00−0.12+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.63+0.750.00−0.14+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.57+0.720.00−0.14−0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.51+0.780.00−0.29+0.02