Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index +0.031 to 12.26.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.26 (+0.031)
- In: 12.23
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 114
- In: 76
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.01 | 10.26 | +0.246 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.34 | 13.24 | −0.103 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.43 | 9.35 | −0.084 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.06 | 15.09 | +0.025 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.59 | 12.79 | +0.205 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.33 | 11.26 | −0.068 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.27 | 12.14 | −0.126 | 8 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.84 | 11.74 | −0.094 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.17 | 14.45 | +0.281 | 5 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 433, plus 76 carried in. Maintenance 299. Spent 96 on actions (buy 57, partner 38). 114 carried over.
- PartnerSpace Operations19 credits for 1.08 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −6.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.42 | +1.50 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.02 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.40 | +1.45 | 0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.38 | +1.41 | 0.00 | −0.06 | +0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.67 | +0.77 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.64 | +0.75 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.57 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.12 | −0.02 |