Round 18 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.113 to 12.49.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.49 (+0.113)
In: 12.38
Rank by index
25
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
142
In: 120
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.6110.91+0.3025
Strategic Infrastructure13.2513.24−0.0053
National Security9.399.43+0.0385
Human Capital15.1415.17+0.0231
Information & Influence12.9413.08+0.1443 → 2
Governance & Integrity11.2611.26−0.00210
Financial Strength12.4012.43+0.0279
Production & Innovation11.9012.27+0.3714 → 3
Trade & Investment14.5514.67+0.1153

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 438, plus 120 carried in. Maintenance 309. Spent 107 on actions (buy 86, partner 21). 142 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 0.99 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.57+1.570.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.51+1.520.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.34+1.340.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.80+0.810.000.00−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.76+0.770.000.00−0.01