Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.070 to 12.56.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.56 (+0.071)
- In: 12.49
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 154
- In: 135
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.91 | 11.15 | +0.242 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.24 | 13.30 | +0.061 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.43 | 9.45 | +0.024 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.17 | 15.19 | +0.022 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.08 | 13.11 | +0.027 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.26 | 11.26 | −0.001 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.43 | 12.46 | +0.030 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.27 | 12.28 | +0.013 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.67 | 14.88 | +0.216 | 3 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 449, plus 135 carried in. Maintenance 320. Spent 109 on actions (build 22, buy 44, partner 44). 154 carried over.
- BuildStrategic Strike & Missile Defence22 credits for 0.91 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation22 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies22 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure22 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.65 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.76 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.73 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Space Technologies | +0.67 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.64 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | +0.23 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |