Round 18 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.115 to 12.44.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.44 (+0.114)
In: 12.33
Rank by index
25
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
82
In: 75
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.5410.91+0.3685
Strategic Infrastructure13.2313.22−0.0073
National Security9.219.21+0.0045
Human Capital15.3115.40+0.0911
Information & Influence12.9912.99+0.0073
Governance & Integrity11.2711.27−0.00110
Financial Strength12.1212.45+0.32410 → 8
Production & Innovation11.9112.05+0.1474
Trade & Investment14.4014.50+0.1011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 427, plus 75 carried in. Maintenance 315. Spent 106 on actions (buy 85, partner 21). 82 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.54 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by -2 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 10 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.60+1.600.000.00−0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.58+1.580.000.00+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.54+1.540.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.04+1.050.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.74+0.760.000.00−0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.52+0.510.000.000.00