Round 20 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.152 to 12.68.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.68 (+0.152)
In: 12.53
Rank by index
24
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
96
In: 86
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.9911.37+0.3805
Strategic Infrastructure13.2213.23+0.0053
National Security9.219.21+0.0015
Human Capital15.4615.49+0.0361
Information & Influence13.0013.28+0.2783
Governance & Integrity11.2711.27+0.00110
Financial Strength12.4712.48+0.0108
Production & Innovation12.0612.28+0.2154 → 2
Trade & Investment15.0515.49+0.4381

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 445, plus 86 carried in. Maintenance 325. Spent 110 on actions (build 22, buy 88). 96 carried over.

  • BuildArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 0.74 levelsmctsahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies22 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.62+1.540.000.00+0.09
Energy Technologies+1.55+1.540.000.00+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.45+1.460.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.27+1.270.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.86+0.800.000.00+0.05
Global Value Chain Position+0.77+0.740.000.00+0.03