Round 20 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.083 to 12.68.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.68 (+0.083)
In: 12.60
Rank by index
24
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
194
In: 166
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.2011.79+0.5895 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure13.1813.17−0.0023
National Security9.209.22+0.0235
Human Capital15.3815.41+0.0381
Information & Influence13.0413.06+0.0143
Governance & Integrity11.1911.19+0.00110
Financial Strength12.9112.97+0.06310 → 8
Production & Innovation12.4112.42+0.0142
Trade & Investment14.8714.88+0.0112

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 447, plus 166 carried in. Maintenance 323. Spent 97 on actions (build 19, buy 78). 194 carried over.

  • BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems19 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.37+1.350.000.00+0.02
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.34+1.330.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+1.32+1.240.000.00+0.07
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.15+1.150.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.60+0.590.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.41+0.340.000.00+0.07