Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.078 to 11.83.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.83 (+0.078)
- In: 11.75
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 61
- In: 14
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.97 | 8.99 | +0.020 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.83 | 13.85 | +0.023 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | 0.000 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.14 | 12.49 | +0.355 | 6 |
| Information & Influence | 11.87 | 12.06 | +0.183 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.14 | 12.16 | +0.024 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.15 | 13.19 | +0.039 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.06 | 12.10 | +0.036 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.20 | 12.22 | +0.024 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 421, plus 14 carried in. Maintenance 277. Spent 97 on actions (build 58, buy 19, partner 19). 61 carried over.
- BuyDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 0.98 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 2 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education19 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.2 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.35 | +1.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.05 | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.80 | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.75 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.26 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 |