Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.114 to 11.94.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.94 (+0.114)
- In: 11.83
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 96
- In: 58
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.99 | 9.01 | +0.021 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.85 | 13.87 | +0.023 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | 0.000 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.49 | 12.89 | +0.401 | 6 → 4 |
| Information & Influence | 12.06 | 12.25 | +0.198 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.16 | 12.18 | +0.023 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.19 | 13.21 | +0.028 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.10 | 12.40 | +0.308 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.22 | 12.24 | +0.021 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 423, plus 58 carried in. Maintenance 279. Spent 105 on actions (build 84, buy 21). 96 carried over.
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling21 credits for 2.00 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 5 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills21 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence21 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.2 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +2.00 | +1.96 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.19 | +1.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.12 | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.05 | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.72 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.52 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |