Round 9 · simulation 34 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.144 to 12.76.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.76 (+0.144)
In: 12.62
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
196
In: 169
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.7310.12+0.3886 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.9513.98+0.0273
National Security9.459.47+0.0205
Human Capital15.4215.57+0.1491
Information & Influence12.9512.97+0.0154
Governance & Integrity12.2412.24+0.0039
Financial Strength13.5713.60+0.0309
Production & Innovation13.0613.11+0.0473
Trade & Investment13.1613.78+0.6165

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 448, plus 169 carried in. Maintenance 313. Spent 108 on actions (build 22, buy 43, partner 43). 196 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.79 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 2 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education22 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies22 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence22 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position22 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.89+1.790.000.00+0.10
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.82+1.820.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+1.67+1.640.000.00+0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.92+0.870.000.00+0.05
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.85+0.830.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.82+0.810.000.000.00