Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.138 to 12.62.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.62 (+0.138)
- In: 12.48
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 178
- In: 156
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.69 | 9.73 | +0.039 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.94 | 13.95 | +0.013 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.43 | 9.45 | +0.017 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.15 | 15.42 | +0.266 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.77 | 12.95 | +0.183 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.24 | 12.24 | +0.004 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.49 | 13.57 | +0.078 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.90 | 13.06 | +0.162 | 4 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.69 | 13.16 | +0.476 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 431, plus 156 carried in. Maintenance 305. Spent 104 on actions (build 21, buy 21, partner 63). 178 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 0.99 levelsmctsahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position21 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication21 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.00 | +0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.84 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.83 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.82 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.78 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |